Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hechingen: Noemi Basiletti vs Fiona Ferro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96c460721fea59295a6ef30a5d20bf2416b845dcdc6b8837c33f8196bc5e5f92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fiona Ferroof Noemi Basiletti, Fiona Ferro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Noemi Basiletti | 19c | 2,153$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Noemi Basiletti | 21c | 1,723$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.3 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Fiona Ferro | 75c | 594.05$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fiona Ferro | 70c | 416$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Fiona Ferro | 79c | 254.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Fiona Ferro | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fiona Ferro | 80c | 108.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Fiona Ferro | 75c | 105.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Fiona Ferro | 75c | 71.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Fiona Ferro | 75c | 67.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Fiona Ferro | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Fiona Ferro | 75c | 66.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Noemi Basiletti | 20c | 58.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Fiona Ferro | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Fiona Ferro | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Fiona Ferro | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fiona Ferro | 68c | 23.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Fiona Ferro | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fiona Ferro | 78c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Fiona Ferro | 78c | 19.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Fiona Ferro | 80c | 15.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Fiona Ferro | 77c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Fiona Ferro | 75c | 13.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.