Tennis · resolved market
Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs Strong Kirchheimer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96e8a00411474f86ac152b01b9ece7c45c103a8b559115cd974e0457c22db693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Glinkaof Daniil Glinka, Strong Kirchheimer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Strong Kirchheimer | 4c | 3,189$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Strong Kirchheimer | 19c | 2,358$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.33 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed Strong Kirchheimer | 20c | 1,025$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Strong Kirchheimer | 20c | 1,003$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Daniil Glinka | 79c | 758.09$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.2 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Strong Kirchheimer | 15c | 728.44$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Strong Kirchheimer | 18c | 648.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.09 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Strong Kirchheimer | 17c | 643.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.46 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Strong Kirchheimer | 17c | 312.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Strong Kirchheimer | 16c | 308.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Daniil Glinka | 80c | 300.06$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Daniil Glinka | 79c | 250.09$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…e597backed Strong Kirchheimer | 21c | 243.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…6c66backed Strong Kirchheimer | 22c | 215.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Daniil Glinka | 80c | 198.55$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Strong Kirchheimer | 17c | 167.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Daniil Glinka | 78c | 153.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Strong Kirchheimer | 18c | 141$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Strong Kirchheimer | 20c | 130.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Strong Kirchheimer | 18c | 118.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…89ccbacked Strong Kirchheimer | 16c | 116.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Strong Kirchheimer | 16c | 106.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Daniil Glinka | 77c | 102.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Strong Kirchheimer | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Daniil Glinka | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Strong Kirchheimer | 16c | 92.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Strong Kirchheimer | 17c | 87.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Strong Kirchheimer | 18c | 79.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…1c93backed Strong Kirchheimer | 23c | 75.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Strong Kirchheimer | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Strong Kirchheimer | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Daniil Glinka | 79c | 29.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Daniil Glinka | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Daniil Glinka | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…039fbacked Daniil Glinka | 80c | 12.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.52 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarasota: Daniil Glinka vs Strong Kirchheimerthis page
- Daniil Glinka vs. Strong Kirchheimer: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Glinka vs. Kirchheimer: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Glinka vs KirchheimerGlinka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.