Premier League · resolved market
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f21273cf32dda354092aa85161fa796b806ef20cf3cc69b6c09d442d6905cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 11,093$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.1 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 61c | 5,652$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.03 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 5,137$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.47 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 46c | 4,960$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.81 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 4,232$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 2,976$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.84 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 20c | 1,108$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.89 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 16c | 412.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf0…4964backed Yes | 78c | 386.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 356.19$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 355.25$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 56c | 350.87$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 71c | 307.48$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 291.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 56c | 253.2$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 55c | 227.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Yes | 55c | 215.86$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 78c | 171.14$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 46c | 132$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 18c | 129.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…0019backed Yes | 57c | 117.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 109.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 55c | 97.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 17c | 90.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…6438backed Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9181…30a1backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 47c | 25.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 23.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…9014backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Yes | 72c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8999…21fbbacked Yes | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc7…72ecbacked Yes | 78c | 13.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Millwall FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-24?No won
- Will Millwall FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.