CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x971afd29e84d074c15a5c38b086e09f07ec82fe1824dab6ae1f1ba41d80fa0a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824f…69bdbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK | 44c | 1,986$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TDK | 45c | 1,971$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.18 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 1,600$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.83 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked TDK | 44c | 1,289$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.7 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked TDK | 1c | 1,100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked TDK | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 999$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.44 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ NXT | 74c | 983.72$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.86 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…681bbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 811.51$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TDK | 25c | 779.86$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 770$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.48 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TDK | 44c | 633.19$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.78 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed TDK | 38c | 494$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 489.78$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.07 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed TDK | 45c | 470$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked MOUZ NXT | 68c | 449.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MOUZ NXT | 75c | 408$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed TDK | 39c | 390.87$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.98 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed TDK | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 42c | 295.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.9 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…7091backed TDK | 45c | 262$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed MOUZ NXT | 69c | 259.46$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 257.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.72 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TDK | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 226.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 218.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ NXT | 56c | 200.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed TDK | 49c | 199.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 195.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed MOUZ NXT | 8c | 169.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 69c | 166.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TDK | 45c | 155$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed TDK | 45c | 150.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed MOUZ NXT | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed TDK | 47c | 121.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ NXT | 62c | 116.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed TDK | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed TDK | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 184 | 50%92 W · 92 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ NXT | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed TDK | 32c | 93.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed MOUZ NXT | 54c | 88.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked TDK | 45c | 63.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 49c | 61.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed TDK | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MOUZ NXT | 61c | 55.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 53.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked MOUZ NXT | 58c | 52.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed TDK | 43c | 45.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked TDK | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 38.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked TDK | 50c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed TDK | 43c | 33.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed MOUZ NXT | 72c | 32.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 32.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed TDK | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.