NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x971e5548194864b69ab18786a3568d3007a058092a8ef0f3c221612dbe0c6d47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Blue Jackets, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567a…35aabacked Flames | 70c | 2,630$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…82d3backed Flames | 70c | 2,488$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…0fe7backed Flames | 70c | 2,068$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…623ebacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,425$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe6…9f5abacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,365$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b4…2256backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,365$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…c6fdbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,265$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e9…933fbacked Flames | 70c | 1,236$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd357…0c39backed Flames | 70c | 1,215$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…51dbbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,123$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…11aabacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,036$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…2967backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,032$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…b4bcbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,026$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flames | 70c | 175.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Blue Jackets | 73c | 86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 52.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 50.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Flames | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flames | 66c | 26.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. FlamesFlames won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.