CS2 · resolved market
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97b2b64089e45071668ab60250f7ea1d2d0929ad09b87a15236f1e49233931f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Over | 47c | 256.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 229$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 50c | 139.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 55c | 109.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Under | 55c | 107.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Over | 53c | 106.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf495…d3b5backed Over | 50c | 100.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Under | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Under | 35c | 61.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Under | 42c | 55.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 56c | 53.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 51.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 60c | 46.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 47c | 44.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…5fa9backed Over | 62c | 40.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Under | 48c | 38.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…9ce8backed Under | 53c | 27.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Under | 55c | 19.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerEYEBALLERS won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)EYEBALLERS won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)EYEBALLERS won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FaZe (-3.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+3.5)FaZe won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: EYE (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)EYEBALLERS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.