TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over44c1,905$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.9464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under31c1,679$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.441,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c1,175$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.682,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under56c1,158$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.482,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over67c1,095$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.254,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over75c1,014$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.421,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under56c1,000$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.1126650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over68c996.89$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2728651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under42c955$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.012,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Under56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under26c705.04$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.075,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbe4…8cafbacked Over47c596.08$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.845834.5%20 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under54c529.53$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.517250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Over43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28516051.3%82 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under54c500$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.2939548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under19c442.02$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.262,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under17c404.28$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5360032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under34c364.04$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7728549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under18c318$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.871,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under24c317.02$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3538032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Over42c279.45$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.0827544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Under31c248$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2410844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under57c206.39$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.862,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdb…007bbacked Under28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-40.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under56c198.56$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.221,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a2…1467backed Over44c172$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Under58c171.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed Over48c165.05$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.836446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under58c163.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.71,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Over57c155.86$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5936645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under56c153.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.076654.5%36 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Under56c142$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1732139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed Under10c140$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed Under51c127.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9419152.9%101 W · 90 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over69c113.41$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.491,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under52c109.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.237453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5637050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over48c91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0558745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under35c88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.551,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Under36c77.66$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9177146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf561…f20dbacked Under56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407646.1%35 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over49c65.77$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7966436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under56c61.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.98960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e74…6bdfbacked Over61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.44870.8%34 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under52c57.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6817067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under56c53.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1751348.3%248 W · 265 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Over49c51.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4138452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Over62c48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2438469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d0…e41cbacked Over64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed Over57c45.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4613871%98 W · 40 L+15.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under24c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6437149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Over60c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0819454.1%105 W · 89 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over42c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.621,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7e…8970backed Under38c35.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.489453.2%50 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Over45c33.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.215648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over60c31.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5468659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75eb…ce0bbacked Under52c28.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.841030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under52c28.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8411358.4%66 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under55c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8560451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed Under56c26.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9810956.9%62 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9c…5369backed Over43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2518758.3%109 W · 78 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under56c23.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1849149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed Over57c20.86$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9728761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x104b…e9cebacked Over72c20.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7918481.5%150 W · 34 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick74cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd651…19ecbacked Over67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb09f…6382backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed Over68c16.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2141372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca4a…8989backed Over78c12.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.846100%6 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.