Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97c4497e011962b82cbad1a005bf97b66f8a7f1f614040732caa2ba202f9fa19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Lynx | 11c | 1,567$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.42 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Team Lynx | 14c | 924.49$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Team Lynx | 14c | 912.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Team Lynx | 15c | 908.19$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Lynx | 13c | 768.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Lynx | 14c | 740.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 10c | 714.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.1 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Lynx | 12c | 575.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…d074backed Team Lynx | 6c | 417.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Team Lynx | 4c | 353.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…a92cbacked Team Lynx | 11c | 340$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Team Lynx | 15c | 284.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Lynx | 13c | 189.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Lynx | 15c | 151.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Lynx | 14c | 149.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Team Lynx | 15c | 113.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Team Lynx | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Team Lynx | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Lynx | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Lynx | 13c | 98.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…c8c7backed Team Lynx | 15c | 84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Team Lynx | 13c | 76.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.