Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf57edb1d7a7a246765975f4d62262a93833b8af3e5d1fcc517d101f939be07c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid | 77c | 8,808$6,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.95 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 72c | 4,924$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.08 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Lynx | 28c | 3,309$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.79 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx | 26c | 2,381$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.72 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Lynx | 31c | 2,259$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.3 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,801$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.2 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Lynx | 29c | 1,590$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.02 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Lynx | 26c | 1,343$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.16 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid | 71c | 1,099$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.67 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Lynx | 9c | 1,052$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 26c | 1,040$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.01 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Lynx | 29c | 1,022$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.46 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Lynx | 27c | 1,003$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.06 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Lynx | 20c | 929.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Liquid | 71c | 818.15$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.76 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx | 28c | 795.37$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.91 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…d45bbacked Team Lynx | 17c | 788.11$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…0ad0backed Team Lynx | 18c | 750.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.94 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid | 73c | 688.66$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 536.87$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.22 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Lynx | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Team Lynx | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Lynx | 4c | 474.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 73c | 375$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 350$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Team Lynx | 28c | 343.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Lynx | 29c | 330.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 323.91$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Team Liquid | 70c | 313.69$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Lynx | 10c | 311.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Lynx | 28c | 303.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Lynx | 19c | 269.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…89f8backed Team Liquid | 73c | 268.56$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 267.35$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 258.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 241.2$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…3ca2backed Team Lynx | 8c | 233.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Lynx | 22c | 212.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Team Lynx | 22c | 210.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Lynx | 27c | 197.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 76c | 178.69$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Team Lynx | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Lynx | 28c | 142.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Team Lynx | 16c | 140.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 75c | 135.44$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Team Lynx | 16c | 126.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 108.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Team Lynx | 14c | 101.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx | 21c | 99.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Team Lynx | 29c | 99.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Lynx | 28c | 95.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Lynx | 14c | 94.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…e54bbacked Team Lynx | 32c | 81.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +140%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Team Liquid | 74c | 80.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…3322backed Team Lynx | 24c | 79.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 77.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Lynx | 18c | 72.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Liquid | 79c | 71.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Lynx | 30c | 70.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 69.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…e03dbacked Team Lynx | 17c | 66.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Team Lynx | 24c | 65.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Lynx | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…35b9backed Team Liquid | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…5f3bbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 51.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Team Liquid | 73c | 39.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Liquid | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.