Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9808ccedf51c38e97d21280f31924e4329766db3a4425f96b3e371f340592b3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof Bilibili Gaming, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9973…bd7fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Bilibili Gaming | 7c | 1,201$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed Bilibili Gaming | 6c | 698.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed TYLOO | 70c | 411.73$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.21 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 404.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Bilibili Gaming | 12c | 399.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked TYLOO | 76c | 256.57$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 19c | 220.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bilibili Gaming | 24c | 195.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TYLOO | 76c | 194.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…cb0cbacked TYLOO | 55c | 183.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TYLOO | 75c | 113.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…ddcebacked Bilibili Gaming | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 102.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed TYLOO | 51c | 95.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Bilibili Gaming | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 76.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 48c | 55.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 24c | 55.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 53.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 45c | 47.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 39.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TYLOO | 71c | 37.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Bilibili Gaming | 47c | 31.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed TYLOO | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed TYLOO | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)TYLOO won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO5) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsTYLOO won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 3 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.