Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Viktoria Plzen beat Anderlecht?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9818afae082d8d595ca71c63c30164cf0d4f28cceed7a9d983b70d632805a36e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 49c | 450.11$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.42 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed No | 50c | 400.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 45c | 322.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.16 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 6c | 195.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 53c | 76.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe815…93f4backed Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb8…05aabacked Yes | 47c | 44.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e598backed No | 53c | 44.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…bf6bbacked Yes | 44c | 43.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…7729backed Yes | 45c | 39.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…34febacked Yes | 45c | 38.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d89…ca0cbacked Yes | 51c | 37.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…7262backed No | 54c | 36.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…3e99backed No | 30c | 33.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…4b33backed Yes | 70c | 33.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3808…f8fcbacked No | 51c | 27.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…fa77backed No | 56c | 24.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…fd7ebacked No | 55c | 22.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa646…7117backed Yes | 49c | 21.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c35…a224backed No | 56c | 19.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Viktoria Plzen beat Anderlecht?this page
- Will Anderlecht beat Viktoria Plzen?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.