Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x982b9f592c47fe03698b3fb97f50a65554b33e1c070bb9541a6d643393dcd093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325a…f4cbbacked No | 46c | 2,600$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…cf4abacked No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…f1ccbacked Yes | 48c | 1,876$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 34c | 1,490$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.1 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,460$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.64 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…13f2backed No | 45c | 1,204$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722b…c68bbacked No | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,167$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.49 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked No | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 36c | 493.7$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.73 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…3d09backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed No | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 214.5$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 35c | 123.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed No | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Yes | 65c | 73.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 65c | 73.42$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 65c | 51.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 29c | 40.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed No | 69c | 27.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…9f5bbacked Yes | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Yes | 75c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.