Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed7284306694a09e14d36df99316e8875d939d2c20dab55a45fa9b4e88dd1912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 78c | 212.78$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 212.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.07 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…78ffbacked Under | 80c | 181.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed Over | 21c | 87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 20c | 55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 77c | 31.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…f668backed Under | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef30…0d30backed Under | 79c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95e…1e7abacked Under | 79c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…9f5bbacked Under | 79c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cab…c0b5backed Under | 79c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Ittihad Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.