CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ShindeN (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x983514b4e1efb08fd12a1b8146fd6cae58b70c5050911e779c98c20ee5945621
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ShindeN | 43c | 1,689$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Fluxo W7M | 58c | 798$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.01 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed ShindeN | 43c | 553.86$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.16 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Fluxo W7M | 58c | 494$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 368.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Fluxo W7M | 58c | 328.36$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ShindeN | 42c | 274.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked ShindeN | 39c | 258.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ShindeN | 43c | 212.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Fluxo W7M | 59c | 195.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo W7M | 61c | 68.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Fluxo W7M | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Fluxo W7M | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 46.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Fluxo W7M | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Fluxo W7M | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Fluxo W7M | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…29e4backed Fluxo W7M | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Fluxo W7M | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ShindeN (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ShindeN - Map 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.