Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9899b0d5d9e3a0fdadbe7aac43a67b93bb9e066dc13f1129aad2bf6784dfb1dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 1,494$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 979.78$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 72c | 962.95$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.34 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 6c | 683.13$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.14 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 80c | 375.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 54c | 367.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 14c | 260.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.63 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 20c | 248.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 61c | 160.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 7c | 160$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 15c | 130.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 20c | 127$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 77c | 59.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 1.5this page
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fredrikstad FK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-1.5)Kristiansund BK won
- Spread: Fredrikstad FK (-2.5)Kristiansund BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.