Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seattle Redhawks vs. Washington State Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98d546946f2c778bce073be6f5d45e858f713fa37a3e1affa3481fc1c3d5b544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington State Cougarsof Seattle Redhawks, Washington State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Seattle Redhawks | 26c | 1,015$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 45c | 997.91$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.06 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington State Cougars | 76c | 545.94$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.44 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Washington State Cougars | 55c | 489$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.05 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seattle Redhawks | 4c | 456.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Washington State Cougars | 56c | 365.8$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Redhawks | 31c | 254.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 44c | 239.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Seattle Redhawks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington State Cougars | 73c | 192$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Washington State Cougars | 56c | 179.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington State Cougars | 54c | 173$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Washington State Cougars | 55c | 165$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Seattle Redhawks | 44c | 136.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Washington State Cougars | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Washington State Cougars | 55c | 100.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…1caebacked Seattle Redhawks | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Seattle Redhawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Washington State Cougars | 69c | 79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Washington State Cougars | 71c | 76.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Washington State Cougars | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Washington State Cougars | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Seattle Redhawks | 27c | 59.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Seattle Redhawks | 45c | 48.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Seattle Redhawks | 31c | 48.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Washington State Cougars | 55c | 47.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Redhawks | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Washington State Cougars | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Washington State Cougars | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Washington State Cougars | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Washington State Cougars | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Redhawks vs. Washington State Cougarsthis page
- Spread: Washington State Cougars (-2.5)Washington State Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.