Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Elena Pridankina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98ef352ae960cac97e2bc03073bb8a4c4b914f4e8c0834d7271e5f76040e1fc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Pridankinaof Alice Tubello, Elena Pridankina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Alice Tubello | 10c | 1,201$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alice Tubello | 19c | 465.45$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Alice Tubello | 13c | 287$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Elena Pridankina | 78c | 285.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Elena Pridankina | 77c | 230$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Alice Tubello | 19c | 227.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Alice Tubello | 32c | 186.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Elena Pridankina | 71c | 177.57$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alice Tubello | 29c | 173.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elena Pridankina | 72c | 98.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alice Tubello | 28c | 88.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Alice Tubello | 26c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Elena Pridankina | 66c | 53.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Elena Pridankina | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Elena Pridankina | 69c | 35.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Elena Pridankina | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 478 | 57.9%277 W · 201 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Elena Pridankina | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Elena Pridankina | 79c | 27.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Elena Pridankina | 77c | 24.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Elena Pridankina | 79c | 23.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Elena Pridankina | 72c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Elena Pridankina | 70c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.