NHL · resolved market
AHL: Lehigh Valley Phantoms vs. Bridgeport Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f9995bc020c07586a98ea814e992b0a1b423c766951ca7e5b8cc9bc0f7680a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bridgeport Islandersof Lehigh Valley Phantoms, Bridgeport Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Bridgeport Islanders | 43c | 4,577$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.38 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 55c | 1,550$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.5 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…cc38backed Bridgeport Islanders | 40c | 983$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +124%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 900.33$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.9 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…5af0backed Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 811$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…9e2cbacked Bridgeport Islanders | 40c | 718$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163d…8d30backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 60c | 664$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0876…b9adbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 60c | 479$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd378…7ec9backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 450$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 362.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.21 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…8dfbbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 361$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Bridgeport Islanders | 44c | 321.07$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…d4c2backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 60c | 319$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f13…aca3backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 60c | 239$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 57c | 192.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Bridgeport Islanders | 42c | 96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 55c | 95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bridgeport Islanders | 45c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed Bridgeport Islanders | 41c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bridgeport Islanders | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 41c | 27.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 60c | 26.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.