Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9907d92b0ef8a5546640ec60a6100c16e2b94f0f2256ef3724adb06dc210007c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed No | 53c | 2,535$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 835.72$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 47c | 622.47$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.56 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 45c | 552.48$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.22 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 47c | 455.55$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.11 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 36c | 413.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 39c | 261.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 47c | 237.48$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 53c | 212.76$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 49c | 204.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 49c | 181.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Yes | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Yes | 48c | 103.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Yes | 47c | 102.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…fab4backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 38c | 92.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed No | 54c | 63.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…ab00backed No | 53c | 41.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed No | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe764…fe55backed Yes | 48c | 37.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 54c | 36.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2581…fc62backed Yes | 48c | 34.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…9024backed Yes | 48c | 32.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 47c | 31.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 54c | 28.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c6…4b99backed No | 53c | 25.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Yes | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.