Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0b27b15cbb5cb59c8844cf40f71ecf6011403606ab0aec01ac8d91ff10a8e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 55c | 4,550$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 45c | 1,796$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,734$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.76 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 1,291$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.62 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd260…b480backed Over | 56c | 1,287$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 54c | 1,102$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.73 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 55c | 1,096$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.06 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…2e5ebacked Over | 49c | 642.82$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 455.92$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.04 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 48c | 415$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.04 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 319.35$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 47c | 277.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 54c | 230.09$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 189.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 47c | 179.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 54c | 158.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 54c | 116.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Over | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 52c | 95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 45c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -11.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 54.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 57c | 41.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 39.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 36.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 36c | 31.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 68c | 21.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 71c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.