Asian League · resolved market
NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e1a0a7852b9fc347ca89816499612bc8a08b6e580d2a15a51fd536126624a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 2,848$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.02 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 1,912$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.28 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 19c | 715$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 28c | 588.29$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.04 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 28c | 566.24$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 376.84$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 72c | 357.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 28c | 253.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 34c | 213.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Under | 72c | 193.5$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 167.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 55c | 108.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 54c | 100.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Under | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 40c | 72.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 73c | 72.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 66.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 50.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 65c | 41.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 50c | 39.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 36c | 39.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Over | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Under | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…a519backed Under | 67c | 18.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEOM SC vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.