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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inner Circle Esportsof Wildcard, Inner Circle Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaed4…09afbacked Wildcard0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked Wildcard52c650.93$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.120935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports74c553.01$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.068,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Wildcard22c532$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.221,28922%283 W · 1,006 L-25.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Wildcard34c312.14$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.296,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wildcard31c298.07$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.642,81637.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L-138.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle Esports73c228$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.115,40031.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L-393.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Wildcard16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3241716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked Inner Circle Esports53c188.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4413753.3%73 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Wildcard31c152.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.73,99436.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L-207.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Wildcard32c140$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.482,42246.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L-56.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab9…fa06backed Wildcard17c109.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Wildcard32c102.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8866436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Inner Circle Esports61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3928657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed Wildcard35c89.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3119641.3%81 W · 115 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle Esports74c77.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.895,11337.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L-268.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Inner Circle Esports43c77.05$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.921,33544%588 W · 747 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Wildcard34c60.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.334,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Wildcard30c52.28$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.97745.5%35 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Inner Circle Esports75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.393261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Inner Circle Esports55c44.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8531647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Esports72c41.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.614,81743.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L-90.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed Wildcard35c29.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.246232.3%20 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f77…39f8backed Wildcard47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.83658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Wildcard55c18.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2535466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Inner Circle Esports72c17.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8368746.9%322 W · 365 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.