CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x995a768628b7efb305e3db36b49a1a6bd714467c24b0777841e0abc728afc266
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof ex-Zero Tenacity, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit | 46c | 1,730$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.68 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 448 | 55.6%249 W · 199 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HyperSpirit | 48c | 400.83$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.53 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 382.12$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.13 | 1,683 | 47%791 W · 892 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 273.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 749 | 39.1%293 W · 456 L | -28.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked HyperSpirit | 65c | 184.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HyperSpirit | 45c | 181.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 156$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 435 | 38.9%169 W · 266 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HyperSpirit | 44c | 148.73$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked HyperSpirit | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HyperSpirit | 42c | 96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked HyperSpirit | 72c | 77.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1,450 | 52.9%767 W · 683 L | +34.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 45c | 61.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed HyperSpirit | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 544 | 48.2%262 W · 282 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 42.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 1,212 | 54.4%659 W · 553 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed HyperSpirit | 59c | 41.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 39.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 2,585 | 34.6%894 W · 1,691 L | -200.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 47c | 34.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked HyperSpirit | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 337 | 57.3%193 W · 144 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked HyperSpirit | 60c | 23.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f040backed HyperSpirit | 60c | 18.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…ec71backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 64c | 17.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…75c2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 76c | 15.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 538 | 45.2%243 W · 295 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.