World Politics · resolved market
Indian Election: Modi reelected?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99605d2f99ce79a5580b2d6ec86314a07942e4fd03f21992de46feca7887ce8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc51…e4d9backed No | 2c | 20,017$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,019.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…1c54backed No | 2c | 19,101$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…d256backed No | 5c | 17,010$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +167%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…4ae7backed No | 5c | 15,445$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed No | 3c | 11,050$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +106%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 1c | 10,642$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.02 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…8629backed No | 2c | 9,900$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 4c | 8,536$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.23 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 3c | 7,660$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.54 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 3c | 6,852$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…c402backed No | 2c | 6,624$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…5597backed No | 6c | 6,404$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +207.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…00f3backed No | 4c | 5,827$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 6cpaid | +852.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f03…c49dbacked No | 4c | 5,477$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +309.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb268…46c7backed No | 5c | 5,026$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +278.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked No | 2c | 4,999$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +214.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 3c | 4,018$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…4a66backed No | 2c | 3,294$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044d…f2b6backed No | 3c | 3,115$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +429.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…8cc7backed No | 5c | 2,976$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa269…f102backed No | 5c | 2,792$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…b391backed No | 6c | 2,393$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +293%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…4d77backed No | 4c | 2,360$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…321cbacked No | 4c | 2,303$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…8ac0backed No | 3c | 2,133$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bf…7ebabacked No | 5c | 1,997$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +342%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 3c | 1,820$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc69…9ff5backed No | 2c | 1,283$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…1059backed No | 3c | 1,171$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa0…2da7backed No | 4c | 1,069$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7666…5040backed No | 6c | 1,062$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked No | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…2c13backed No | 4c | 760.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…f40bbacked No | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…6f96backed No | 5c | 510.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…0a9fbacked No | 6c | 494.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…ccf6backed No | 5c | 312.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…fb05backed No | 5c | 289.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…b089backed No | 5c | 282.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…8c95backed No | 5c | 211.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…dfc8backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.