CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Permitta Esports vs Vexar - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99d73d971aa923dfd855821b7e1ceb2a6893eb3cee5d1b7ea2b59ffc2238ac5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexarof Permitta Esports, Vexar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Permitta Esports | 36c | 302.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa316…deb4backed Permitta Esports | 40c | 268.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Permitta Esports | 42c | 268.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…5213backed Vexar | 60c | 238$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vexar | 59c | 204.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Vexar | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked Permitta Esports | 62c | 152.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Vexar | 59c | 112.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…6113backed Vexar | 71c | 109.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564a…8871backed Vexar | 71c | 52.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar | 59c | 42.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Permitta Esports | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14d6…987fbacked Vexar | 53c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…7b0cbacked Vexar | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf06…391fbacked Vexar | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Vexar | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Permitta Esports vs Vexar - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Permitta Esports vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageVexar won
- Counter-Strike: Permitta Esports vs Vexar - Map 2 WinnerVexar won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.