CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Permitta Esports vs Vexar - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x405b1b43b49e1c438e413d6b610d48aefb9ff14c61c1405456a86748fe99a951
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexarof Permitta Esports, Vexar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa316…deb4backed Vexar | 72c | 6,822$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…0e92backed Permitta Esports | 32c | 1,840$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Permitta Esports | 36c | 1,688$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.14 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…5213backed Permitta Esports | 23c | 733.51$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.29 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…1ad4backed Permitta Esports | 36c | 560$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.69 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Permitta Esports | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Permitta Esports | 34c | 534.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Permitta Esports | 63c | 509.56$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.32 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Permitta Esports | 33c | 392.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Vexar | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.4 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…406fbacked Permitta Esports | 51c | 344.87$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Permitta Esports | 11c | 331.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Permitta Esports | 36c | 289$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Permitta Esports | 22c | 288.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Permitta Esports | 16c | 284.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Permitta Esports | 26c | 278.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Permitta Esports | 15c | 217.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Vexar | 50c | 205.91$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Permitta Esports | 49c | 160.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Permitta Esports | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed Permitta Esports | 17c | 134.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked Vexar | 76c | 133.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Permitta Esports | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Permitta Esports | 32c | 96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Permitta Esports | 11c | 95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Vexar | 48c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Permitta Esports | 33c | 77.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Permitta Esports | 16c | 76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Permitta Esports | 17c | 71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Permitta Esports | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Permitta Esports | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Permitta Esports | 25c | 46.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Permitta Esports | 27c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Permitta Esports | 31c | 44.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Vexar | 60c | 40.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Vexar | 36c | 36.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Vexar | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Permitta Esports | 35c | 31.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Vexar | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa53…2439backed Vexar | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vexar | 71c | 15.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Permitta Esports vs Vexar - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Permitta Esports vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageVexar won
- Counter-Strike: Permitta Esports vs Vexar - Map 1 WinnerVexar won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.