TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Permitta Esports vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vexarof Permitta Esports, Vexar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,670 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5135…7217backed Permitta Esports50c3,935$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.221,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa316…deb4backed Vexar70c3,506$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.421172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200a…1c12backed Vexar62c3,145$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff6…1963backed Vexar49c3,013$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.74560%27 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf06…391fbacked Permitta Esports40c2,429$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Vexar63c1,506$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.4216343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d6…987fbacked Permitta Esports34c1,208$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.11633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Permitta Esports16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16035847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Permitta Esports57c990.11$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.361,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed Vexar53c949.04$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.955251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Permitta Esports32c900$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28827438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed Vexar44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5048570.6%60 W · 25 L+18.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+47.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5c5ebacked Permitta Esports19c806.2$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8e…ce7dbacked Vexar60c790$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.94173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Permitta Esports32c687.13$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.522,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9491…547dbacked Vexar64c614.01$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.24540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Vexar49c593.88$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.942,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa312…9590backed Permitta Esports33c510.11$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Permitta Esports48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403650%18 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Permitta Esports48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Permitta Esports54c452$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.6433849.7%168 W · 170 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e8…6113backed Vexar54c447.37$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Vexar54c446.98$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5331749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Vexar69c365$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.459343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…8c2cbacked Vexar80c333.87$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.772969%20 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Permitta Esports54c327$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5874054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Permitta Esports21c304.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.383,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Permitta Esports23c259.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1575833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2666…8d0dbacked Vexar59c255.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Permitta Esports44c235.71$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.712,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ee…a0bbbacked Permitta Esports45c210.07$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Permitta Esports60c207.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.945,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Permitta Esports31c182.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.432,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Vexar53c176.39$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6912455.6%69 W · 55 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Vexar66c170$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.821159.7%126 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Permitta Esports18c148.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.373,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed Permitta Esports29c133.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6721850.9%111 W · 107 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed Permitta Esports48c118.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3216847.6%80 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8195…3fedbacked Vexar57c104.37$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.532751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Permitta Esports22c99.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1820447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Permitta Esports23c98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.545442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40c2…aef7backed Vexar49c93.11$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.574252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Vexar66c91.88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.557,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar58c85.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6621845.9%100 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3211…9ee3backed Permitta Esports28c83.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5718951.3%97 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed Permitta Esports15c83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.837837.2%29 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…472ebacked Vexar60c81.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.552025%5 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Vexar63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.622257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Permitta Esports25c75.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8833627.7%93 W · 243 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a7…9133backed Vexar60c74.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.02560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7759…4ea4backed Vexar45c71.82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Vexar57c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.511460.5%69 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Vexar74c58.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.332,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Permitta Esports19c57.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9111221.4%24 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Vexar55c56.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.42,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed Permitta Esports43c56.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9912340.7%50 W · 73 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Vexar58c51.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5560954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked Permitta Esports49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.525551.8%132 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Vexar42c49.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.810560%63 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9266…a9d3backed Permitta Esports70c47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.037657.9%44 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f9…5e1abacked Vexar60c45.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.16850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Permitta Esports41c41.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked Vexar44c40.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8515056.7%85 W · 65 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6865…7b0cbacked Vexar60c39.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Permitta Esports45c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.711,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…5277backed Vexar60c34.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x564a…8871backed Vexar65c34.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.121675%12 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Permitta Esports30c34.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.351,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Permitta Esports33c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.685,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb2c…f5bebacked Permitta Esports58c31.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2851…5860backed Vexar66c30.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c55…8dedbacked Permitta Esports58c30.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6110346.6%48 W · 55 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Permitta Esports53c30.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.175450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x060f…7eeebacked Vexar60c27.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd4d…60f8backed Permitta Esports56c27.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.411741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571c…b9f9backed Permitta Esports73c26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.983040%12 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Vexar61c21.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf0d7…a08abacked Vexar60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb045…4947backed Vexar60c17.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Permitta Esports59c16.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011761.5%72 W · 45 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.