Premier League · resolved market
Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99e205be5b4d9312be9b3458f6bea6eabcb201352d5c5caf534a920be847771e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 60c | 10,305$6,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.13 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 40c | 6,746$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.92 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 40c | 4,793$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.16 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 58c | 779.38$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.86 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 2c | 656$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 650$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 21c | 570$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.29 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 58c | 345.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 321.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 61c | 279$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…600fbacked No | 43c | 87.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 40c | 82.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 77c | 35.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…dde4backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 68c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 76c | 17.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Gillingham FC vs. Luton Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gillingham FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.