Lol · resolved market
LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Volda E-Sport - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a480a6500a007279d91219ad306b3fa69868c558584f473c44c0edbbce21107
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Ruddy Sackof The Ruddy Sack, Volda E-Sport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Volda E-Sport | 20c | 3,422$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.02 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Volda E-Sport | 16c | 1,706$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Volda E-Sport | 16c | 946.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Volda E-Sport | 2c | 930$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked The Ruddy Sack | 78c | 839.06$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.04 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Volda E-Sport | 16c | 713.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Volda E-Sport | 14c | 499.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Volda E-Sport | 14c | 280$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Volda E-Sport | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…1f68backed The Ruddy Sack | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…d485backed The Ruddy Sack | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Volda E-Sport | 8c | 189.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Volda E-Sport | 10c | 175.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Volda E-Sport | 19c | 126.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed The Ruddy Sack | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Volda E-Sport | 13c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…7eb9backed The Ruddy Sack | 71c | 79.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked The Ruddy Sack | 72c | 20.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…a5babacked The Ruddy Sack | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Volda E-Sport - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?No won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Volda E-Sport (BO3) - NLC Regular SeasonThe Ruddy Sack won
- LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Volda E-Sport - Game 1 WinnerThe Ruddy Sack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.