Premier League · resolved market
Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5af6255863790cd9ec339dfdc6dba3d9eef96eb801f480c6674ed32881ba95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,433$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 17c | 995$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.15 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…61eebacked Yes | 31c | 268.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 48c | 211$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 52c | 211$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 197.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed No | 68c | 160.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 40c | 106.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4799…cf78backed Yes | 36c | 64.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 49c | 53.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 54c | 41.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 39.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 61c | 37.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 32.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…4071backed Yes | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350b…b92dbacked Yes | 53c | 26.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…443cbacked Yes | 47c | 25.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…4ce6backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…4a16backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…659dbacked Yes | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…ed8abacked Yes | 52c | 24.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…5539backed Yes | 53c | 24.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed98…97d2backed Yes | 52c | 24.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd557…4a76backed No | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…61a3backed No | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…2df2backed No | 46c | 23.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…086fbacked Yes | 53c | 23.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6182…31b0backed Yes | 52c | 23.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862b…6f54backed Yes | 53c | 23.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e07…6c8dbacked Yes | 52c | 23.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5290…d85ebacked Yes | 53c | 23.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…1f3ebacked No | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…3eedbacked No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902b…0356backed No | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b9…a88abacked No | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…832bbacked No | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…e368backed No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb2…bec6backed No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f12…5498backed No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…07babacked No | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbe…8625backed No | 47c | 22.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b7…2c83backed No | 48c | 22.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…35a6backed Yes | 52c | 22.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5c…20c0backed Yes | 54c | 22.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…2406backed No | 49c | 22.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…9bbcbacked Yes | 53c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…c383backed Yes | 52c | 22.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b96…ca8dbacked Yes | 52c | 22.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…8302backed No | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6e…3aefbacked No | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…14b8backed Yes | 52c | 21.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc2…c9d1backed Yes | 53c | 21.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…c958backed Yes | 53c | 21.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Yes | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…4e8dbacked Yes | 53c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…b61abacked No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba11…c2c8backed No | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…d045backed Yes | 52c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 20.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 53c | 20.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 296 | 44.6%132 W · 164 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…2052backed Yes | 52c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4a…709bbacked Yes | 52c | 20.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…d8cabacked Yes | 52c | 19.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7051…02f0backed Yes | 52c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22e…d83bbacked Yes | 53c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad96…da38backed Yes | 53c | 19.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5365…d694backed Yes | 52c | 19.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Derby County FC (-2.5)Stoke City FC won
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-1.5)Derby County FC won
- Spread: Stoke City FC (-2.5)Derby County FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.