MLB · resolved market
Will Woking FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a967327ed95ef20b0b7a9841a448c08ebe255bb81e536e0d0e8a3285964ef02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 53c | 4,321$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.66 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 47c | 1,139$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.82 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 47c | 936$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.92 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 47c | 602.83$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.33 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 47c | 496.45$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 39c | 414.74$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.03 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 312$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 50c | 276.23$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 47c | 141.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 45c | 139.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 54c | 133$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 55c | 128.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 48c | 110.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ec…a235backed Yes | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 48c | 55.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf118…03ecbacked Yes | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 53.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed No | 55c | 44.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked No | 57c | 43.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…6f27backed No | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…6abdbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…a62fbacked No | 56c | 27.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 55c | 27.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…3465backed No | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 50c | 23.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Woking FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Woking FC vs. Sutton United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.