Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nivelles: Jannik Opitz vs Niels Ratiu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa7d607bf9c4a3a471646e0edd09bbd60243a2344a4eb0155f71341f37d6068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Opitzof Jannik Opitz, Niels Ratiu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Niels Ratiu | 70c | 3,287$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.94 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jannik Opitz | 34c | 1,874$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.72 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Jannik Opitz | 30c | 667.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.97 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Jannik Opitz | 25c | 484.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.01 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Niels Ratiu | 64c | 423.53$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Niels Ratiu | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…070dbacked Niels Ratiu | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Niels Ratiu | 37c | 374.51$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Jannik Opitz | 27c | 220$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jannik Opitz | 28c | 187.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Jannik Opitz | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Niels Ratiu | 37c | 153$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Niels Ratiu | 37c | 153$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Niels Ratiu | 37c | 153$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Niels Ratiu | 37c | 153$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Jannik Opitz | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Niels Ratiu | 37c | 146$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Niels Ratiu | 36c | 139.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Jannik Opitz | 25c | 132$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Jannik Opitz | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Niels Ratiu | 64c | 126.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Jannik Opitz | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Jannik Opitz | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Niels Ratiu | 66c | 98.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jannik Opitz | 35c | 95.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Niels Ratiu | 35c | 94.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Niels Ratiu | 58c | 81.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jannik Opitz | 41c | 73.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Jannik Opitz | 52c | 69.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Niels Ratiu | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Niels Ratiu | 75c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Niels Ratiu | 42c | 54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jannik Opitz | 37c | 42.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Niels Ratiu | 63c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Jannik Opitz | 39c | 38.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Niels Ratiu | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Niels Ratiu | 60c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Niels Ratiu | 43c | 35.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…6684backed Niels Ratiu | 67c | 34.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ec…2bf9backed Niels Ratiu | 56c | 33.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Jannik Opitz | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Niels Ratiu | 38c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Jannik Opitz | 39c | 30.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Jannik Opitz | 41c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Niels Ratiu | 69c | 28.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Niels Ratiu | 50c | 25.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Jannik Opitz | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Niels Ratiu | 65c | 22.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.