CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa897024b8aad16839248179dcebd2e29bf9d78b994eaa3266af13f13477357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof Brute, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Brute | 69c | 1,125$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.51 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 711.21$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.57 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 5c | 579.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed MOUZ NXT | 28c | 430.36$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 395.12$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Brute | 50c | 373.8$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 313.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Brute | 72c | 257.79$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked MOUZ NXT | 28c | 198.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed MOUZ NXT | 15c | 146.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…cf3fbacked Brute | 66c | 75.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 64.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Brute | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Brute | 76c | 32.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed Brute | 66c | 27.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Brute | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked Brute | 72c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 PlayoffsBrute won
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerBrute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.