CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e83b4e8aacbb9e6bf6ce162fc8b16b38fcaea5b99f67739641aa015eb3a2dcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof Brute, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 564.9$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 441.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Brute | 66c | 433.29$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Brute | 52c | 234.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x717b…a128backed Brute | 59c | 227.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Brute | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed MOUZ NXT | 27c | 187.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 163$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Brute | 69c | 157.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Brute | 70c | 143.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed MOUZ NXT | 30c | 137.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 85.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 83.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 70.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Brute | 70c | 65.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Brute | 78c | 64.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed MOUZ NXT | 20c | 51.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Brute | 52c | 42.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Brute | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked MOUZ NXT | 47c | 33.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Brute | 52c | 26.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Brute | 70c | 26.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…21e3backed Brute | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…30a9backed Brute | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerBrute won
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerBrute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.