CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa83f1beb07e6d264e2947cf6b88011d393268be86061b88765be9f6f59cc4057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof Brute, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed MOUZ NXT | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.57 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Brute | 52c | 1,324$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.62 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Brute | 39c | 750$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.99 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 42c | 685.06$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.02 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Brute | 60c | 676.95$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.68 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 246$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 402 | 34.6%139 W · 263 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked MOUZ NXT | 67c | 232.86$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 214.81$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 158.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MOUZ NXT | 61c | 136.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 122.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brute | 25c | 47.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed MOUZ NXT | 73c | 37.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 358 | 48%172 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Brute | 32c | 35.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 306 | 22.9%70 W · 236 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Brute | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Brute | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 62c | 17.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 16.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #6 PlayoffsBrute won
- Counter-Strike: Brute vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerBrute won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.