Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs David Goffin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ab79408b40f10fb961988e9111f8855368d6a5f633d66914c3d8f2ac37a1fbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Comesanaof Comesana, Goffin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Goffin | 53c | 747.38$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.74 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Comesana | 45c | 699.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Goffin | 57c | 695.46$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.46 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Comesana | 41c | 476.19$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.95 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Comesana | 44c | 457.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.36 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Comesana | 51c | 340$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…cb62backed Goffin | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…4434backed Comesana | 7c | 300$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +604.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Comesana | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Comesana | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Goffin | 56c | 236.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Comesana | 42c | 236.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Goffin | 30c | 213.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Goffin | 58c | 205.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…eba7backed Goffin | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Comesana | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Goffin | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Comesana | 73c | 135.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Goffin | 59c | 132.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Comesana | 47c | 130.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Goffin | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Comesana | 57c | 97.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Comesana | 46c | 70.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Comesana | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Comesana | 68c | 58.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7058…26b2backed Goffin | 58c | 55.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Goffin | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…4f52backed Goffin | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d4…f13bbacked Comesana | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Comesana | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…0ff9backed Comesana | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.