Tennis · resolved market
Ningbo Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aebe1bc1ae785bbc58f79be97427c2613dda72759a7f5fe5e55e01abee7101d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rybakinaof Yastremska, Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rybakina | 79c | 5,466$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Yastremska | 16c | 1,400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.04 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yastremska | 21c | 1,282$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.63 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yastremska | 35c | 1,042$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.87 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rybakina | 55c | 1,021$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.43 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Yastremska | 32c | 901.46$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yastremska | 13c | 832$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.61 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yastremska | 26c | 716.07$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.02 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rybakina | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yastremska | 12c | 576.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yastremska | 21c | 539$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yastremska | 13c | 497.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.78 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Rybakina | 79c | 367.92$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yastremska | 27c | 366.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…f1a8backed Yastremska | 25c | 345.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Rybakina | 72c | 307.3$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Yastremska | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Yastremska | 10c | 201.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yastremska | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Yastremska | 18c | 172.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Yastremska | 19c | 149.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yastremska | 28c | 133$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yastremska | 24c | 117$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…ec1bbacked Rybakina | 74c | 83.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yastremska | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Rybakina | 77c | 40.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.