Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af8a027836cdfaa4e1f7f81d7db336b148c078bc6df375233c6963711d21f64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 24c | 2,710$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 1,977$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.69 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 35c | 1,296$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.07 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 73c | 709.47$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.92 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 75c | 675.3$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 25c | 665$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 74c | 541.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 76c | 510.86$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…5501backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 386.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.29 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 74c | 249.11$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 73c | 239.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 73c | 238.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 27c | 237.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 73c | 225.04$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 74c | 175.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 165$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 73c | 123.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 73c | 122.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 77c | 121.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 28c | 102.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 74c | 98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 28c | 94.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 90.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 24c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 75c | 50.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 76c | 44.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 74c | 41.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f4…7b18backed Yes | 67c | 38.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4f…4aa8backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 65c | 27.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 65c | 27.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 76c | 22.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 73c | 17.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Tromsø IL vs. Kristiansund BK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.