Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b01ca0a22c9c00899781c6fa983463714543a407ac06d416b12a7ac38652cff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Team Vitality, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FUT Esports | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed Team Vitality | 42c | 579.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 58c | 529.04$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…a167backed Team Vitality | 37c | 267.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed FUT Esports | 63c | 249.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Team Vitality | 37c | 241.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Vitality | 37c | 238.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Vitality | 37c | 237.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Vitality | 37c | 235.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 118.54$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Vitality | 37c | 114$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 322 | 41.9%135 W · 187 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed FUT Esports | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Team Vitality | 42c | 45.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…8339backed FUT Esports | 64c | 30.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Team Vitality | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Vitality | 36c | 29.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed FUT Esports | 62c | 28.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FUT Esports | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed FUT Esports | 77c | 18.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)FUT Esports won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)Team Vitality won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5Over won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group StageTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.