Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b084b61fa1361798a19ae3ff0ffb18e40e07b62fcbb15e8f89a87df0bf7131f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN SOOPers Challengersof T1 Academy, DN SOOPers Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.1 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked T1 Academy | 38c | 1,200$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.7 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 66c | 1,125$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.65 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed T1 Academy | 34c | 1,021$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.1 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 59c | 597.21$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…f616backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 67c | 449.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.33 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed T1 Academy | 33c | 443.05$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed T1 Academy | 39c | 267.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed T1 Academy | 41c | 242.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked T1 Academy | 34c | 229.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…5739backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed T1 Academy | 34c | 101.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked T1 Academy | 44c | 67.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed T1 Academy | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…9f6bbacked T1 Academy | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed T1 Academy | 46c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…a610backed T1 Academy | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 22.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked DN SOOPers Challengers | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge GroupT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 WinnerDN SOOPers Challengers won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.