CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Project 91 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b51a369b23723f05b332fd7f77cacc768a4f339aa40b73a325b50ff9a20a7fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof MASONIC, Project 91
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MASONIC | 52c | 1,439$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.69 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Project 91 | 50c | 1,297$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.1 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed MASONIC | 42c | 685.88$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.98 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Project 91 | 39c | 453.11$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Project 91 | 33c | 434.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed MASONIC | 60c | 279.98$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Project 91 | 46c | 254.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 41c | 216.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Project 91 | 42c | 200$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Project 91 | 10c | 196.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MASONIC | 61c | 191.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MASONIC | 67c | 179.09$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Project 91 | 29c | 129.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed MASONIC | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Project 91 | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MASONIC | 56c | 98.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MASONIC | 57c | 93.07$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Project 91 | 41c | 92.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MASONIC | 49c | 74.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed MASONIC | 61c | 66.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed MASONIC | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed MASONIC | 60c | 52.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Project 91 | 31c | 49.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Project 91 | 31c | 49.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Project 91 | 31c | 49.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Project 91 | 40c | 49.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Project 91 | 52c | 41.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Project 91 | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…13d8backed MASONIC | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Project 91 | 48c | 29.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Project 91 | 42c | 25.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed MASONIC | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked MASONIC | 56c | 21.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed MASONIC | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…a2dfbacked MASONIC | 66c | 16.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Project 91 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Project 91 (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group BMASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Project 91 - Map 1 WinnerProject 91 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.