CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b7b93e27082ec3dc255db19b74964959e9f1b2801b1f2a5a7a85489bc2baee8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Tricked, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6013…9826backed Tricked | 79c | 591.08$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 445.29$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.1 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY | 25c | 434.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Tricked | 49c | 406.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…0d15backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 210.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Tricked | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 168.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Tricked | 50c | 139.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 36c | 136.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 27c | 130.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Tricked | 49c | 126.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Tricked | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Tricked | 48c | 79.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Tricked | 45c | 64.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 54.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed ex-RUBY | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 44.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Tricked | 62c | 43.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Tricked | 49c | 36.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Tricked | 51c | 33.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Tricked | 69c | 27.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 27.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Tricked | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Tricked | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tricked | 60c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Tricked | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 21.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tricked | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerTricked won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 WinnerTricked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.