Tennis · resolved market
Bengaluru 3: Sidharth Rawat vs Ognjen Milic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c055512186fb667480bcdab478ebbc4abb19864e3c8d52decd2efacab2e4c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ognjen Milicof Sidharth Rawat, Ognjen Milic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Ognjen Milic | 78c | 1,930$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.76 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Ognjen Milic | 74c | 1,356$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.16 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sidharth Rawat | 17c | 1,181$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Sidharth Rawat | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Sidharth Rawat | 15c | 963.23$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sidharth Rawat | 10c | 929.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c5…dbf1backed Sidharth Rawat | 2c | 851.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Sidharth Rawat | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sidharth Rawat | 12c | 413.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sidharth Rawat | 22c | 382.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Ognjen Milic | 72c | 298.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sidharth Rawat | 24c | 252.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Sidharth Rawat | 23c | 199.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sidharth Rawat | 19c | 198.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sidharth Rawat | 24c | 157$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sidharth Rawat | 17c | 147.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sidharth Rawat | 23c | 144.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sidharth Rawat | 15c | 139.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Sidharth Rawat | 22c | 138.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Sidharth Rawat | 26c | 126.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Ognjen Milic | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Sidharth Rawat | 13c | 88.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Sidharth Rawat | 15c | 74.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Sidharth Rawat | 22c | 59.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Ognjen Milic | 75c | 52.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Sidharth Rawat | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Ognjen Milic | 73c | 48.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sidharth Rawat | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Ognjen Milic | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Sidharth Rawat | 32c | 39.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ognjen Milic | 79c | 33.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Ognjen Milic | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Ognjen Milic | 75c | 19.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Ognjen Milic | 74c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.