Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kramsach: Alexander Wagner vs Max Wiskandt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c0fb42bb4af5d5ab6a77590f3a43d4b590949f066212f0fbce17ee786d99b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Wiskandtof Alexander Wagner, Max Wiskandt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b40…2f4bbacked Alexander Wagner | 41c | 10,897$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Alexander Wagner | 6c | 1,672$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Alexander Wagner | 15c | 1,239$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.24 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexander Wagner | 15c | 879.82$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexander Wagner | 18c | 592.32$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexander Wagner | 12c | 404.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…35efbacked Alexander Wagner | 36c | 300$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…0a0bbacked Alexander Wagner | 9c | 270$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ed…efb4backed Alexander Wagner | 8c | 270$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cb…fbe2backed Alexander Wagner | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6af1backed Alexander Wagner | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…33c4backed Alexander Wagner | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…ba88backed Alexander Wagner | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Max Wiskandt | 69c | 126.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Max Wiskandt | 65c | 69.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Max Wiskandt | 77c | 51.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Max Wiskandt | 75c | 33.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Max Wiskandt | 75c | 33.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Max Wiskandt | 62c | 27.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Max Wiskandt | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.