NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c378c3a0d00ead8cb6d88e16a9e6dcff1b4414456733ab73baa05f631ac97fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Golden Knights, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 62c | 6,972$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.47 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Golden Knights | 39c | 5,492$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.8 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 8c | 1,200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Golden Knights | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Islanders | 43c | 999.94$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.97 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Islanders | 42c | 894.97$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.08 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Golden Knights | 58c | 775.74$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders | 43c | 696$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.72 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 59c | 679.77$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Golden Knights | 32c | 662.81$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights | 57c | 458$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.06 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 373.25$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 41c | 361.52$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Golden Knights | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 296.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…cefebacked Golden Knights | 57c | 266$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…0661backed Islanders | 43c | 265$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…4d76backed Golden Knights | 58c | 260.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Islanders | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Islanders | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Golden Knights | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights | 57c | 200.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Golden Knights | 8c | 198.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…865ebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 180.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders | 43c | 174$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 168.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights | 57c | 153.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Islanders | 43c | 116.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 115.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Islanders | 44c | 113.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…0449backed Islanders | 43c | 113.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…906abacked Islanders | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Golden Knights | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Islanders | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Islanders | 43c | 82.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Golden Knights | 57c | 79.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e42…37d4backed Golden Knights | 59c | 77.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…19acbacked Islanders | 43c | 75.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…2719backed Islanders | 43c | 72.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…9a70backed Golden Knights | 58c | 72.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…8d3bbacked Islanders | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e47…9f3fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 69.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 68.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…eed2backed Golden Knights | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Islanders | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Golden Knights | 60c | 56.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e2…f72bbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 42.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…ca2dbacked Islanders | 48c | 41.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3a…4c77backed Islanders | 42c | 40.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…d7b7backed Golden Knights | 58c | 40.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…e6cabacked Golden Knights | 52c | 39.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb522…ff99backed Golden Knights | 52c | 38.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25da…db77backed Islanders | 43c | 37.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac17…e0bcbacked Islanders | 48c | 37.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Islanders | 44c | 35.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Islanders | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…c4d6backed Golden Knights | 46c | 34.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0847…17c3backed Islanders | 54c | 34.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…4dbfbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 34.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…68b4backed Islanders | 48c | 32.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…ece2backed Islanders | 43c | 31.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x118f…cd47backed Golden Knights | 57c | 30.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Golden Knights | 53c | 29.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…7262backed Golden Knights | 52c | 27.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…1a37backed Golden Knights | 57c | 25.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…e844backed Islanders | 42c | 25.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…c1babacked Golden Knights | 58c | 24.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…4b61backed Islanders | 44c | 23.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe119…50bcbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 22.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…4aecbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 22.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Golden Knights | 57c | 21.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3967…1097backed Islanders | 48c | 21.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc531…47e5backed Golden Knights | 58c | 21.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…7757backed Islanders | 54c | 20.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.