CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c78210aeefb4859523842a009ff9456ecf7fc30d60c7420fa4a0f6586c9ec8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildcardof Wildcard, LAG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked LAG Gaming | 9c | 3,858$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.22 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Wildcard | 72c | 3,600$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed LAG Gaming | 28c | 2,500$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.48 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Wildcard | 72c | 1,276$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.37 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed LAG Gaming | 28c | 1,249$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.76 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec2…3987backed LAG Gaming | 4c | 601.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed LAG Gaming | 27c | 544.44$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed Wildcard | 72c | 459.72$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed LAG Gaming | 28c | 434.48$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Wildcard | 73c | 296.45$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed LAG Gaming | 19c | 237.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed LAG Gaming | 7c | 222$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wildcard | 79c | 209.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Wildcard | 73c | 137.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked LAG Gaming | 22c | 136.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed LAG Gaming | 28c | 122.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LAG Gaming | 18c | 85.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed LAG Gaming | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed LAG Gaming | 21c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed LAG Gaming | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc939…6e0fbacked Wildcard | 72c | 44.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed LAG Gaming | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs LAG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerWildcard won
- Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs LAG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerWildcard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.