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Tennis · resolved market

ITF Bielsko Biala: Emma Slavikova vs Lucie Petruzelova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Emma Slavikovaof Emma Slavikova, Lucie Petruzelova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,494
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,494 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca97…49f6backed Lucie Petruzelova44c7,466$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30010448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lucie Petruzelova37c3,299$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.5611,87743.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L+19.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Emma Slavikova45c1,128$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.082,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x975c…6343backed Emma Slavikova31c568.84$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.364148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Emma Slavikova31c464.07$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.722560%15 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50b9…4467backed Emma Slavikova11c454.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.5539034.4%134 W · 256 L+1.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucie Petruzelova38c394.86$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.518,92142.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L-169.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Lucie Petruzelova47c253.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3148139.9%192 W · 289 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Emma Slavikova26c185.15$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0124830.2%75 W · 173 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ec…5696backed Lucie Petruzelova62c182.54$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.752250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Emma Slavikova71c180.78$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.976,72546.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L-42.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef6…c784backed Emma Slavikova36c133.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7117943%77 W · 102 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8888…3d5cbacked Emma Slavikova36c95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2532553.5%174 W · 151 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…bf0dbacked Emma Slavikova72c89.87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7917273.3%126 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Emma Slavikova26c73.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.191,12337.2%418 W · 705 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Emma Slavikova38c64.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.176,58454.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L+286.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b6c…0ef5backed Emma Slavikova31c64.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+62%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Emma Slavikova36c58.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.161,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Emma Slavikova41c57.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.336,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Lucie Petruzelova72c42.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0255946.3%259 W · 300 L-15.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Lucie Petruzelova54c34.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.011,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dcb…64e5backed Lucie Petruzelova78c32.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Emma Slavikova36c31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8443260%259 W · 173 L+29.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Emma Slavikova40c30.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.068,12750.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L+84.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc04c…cebfbacked Emma Slavikova80c29.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9968378.8%538 W · 145 L+50.4wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Emma Slavikova59c27.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.275,60048.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L+10.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4936…38a6backed Lucie Petruzelova76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.16451.6%33 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Lucie Petruzelova76c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3611758.1%68 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.