CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca20218c9aeb6b668dcef2a0811e6f5b85871903c96023ab16795de0522c7d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Hashiras, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Hashiras | 43c | 953.64$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.87 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Young Ninjas | 58c | 205.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Hashiras | 24c | 201.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Young Ninjas | 40c | 198.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Young Ninjas | 64c | 192.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hashiras | 56c | 174.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.98 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Hashiras | 32c | 163.19$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Young Ninjas | 67c | 152.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Young Ninjas | 78c | 128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Hashiras | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Young Ninjas | 30c | 89.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Young Ninjas | 57c | 82.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Hashiras | 23c | 75.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 61c | 60.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Hashiras | 41c | 55.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Young Ninjas | 46c | 49.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 47.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Hashiras | 39c | 43.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Young Ninjas | 72c | 35.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Young Ninjas | 44c | 34.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Hashiras | 49c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Young Ninjas | 72c | 17.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group AHashiras won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 WinnerHashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.