CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2aff320fcf286a4e64bf1ea8eff1d8490fa11b769e9989ca277d4ef7b68578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Hashiras, Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Young Ninjas | 21c | 2,767$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.75 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Young Ninjas | 55c | 2,624$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.02 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hashiras | 53c | 2,617$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.11 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Hashiras | 51c | 2,228$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.29 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 2,110$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.49 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21de…506ebacked Young Ninjas | 36c | 1,735$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.73 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Hashiras | 45c | 1,535$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.4 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Young Ninjas | 63c | 867.76$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.85 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 836.12$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.78 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hashiras | 60c | 528.5$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.21 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2700…aa2abacked Hashiras | 40c | 505$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…9fd7backed Young Ninjas | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hashiras | 65c | 498.22$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.42 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Hashiras | 39c | 493.58$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.08 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Young Ninjas | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hashiras | 38c | 444.31$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.47 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…55ecbacked Young Ninjas | 31c | 417.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Young Ninjas | 25c | 391.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 374.64$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.37 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Young Ninjas | 55c | 329.39$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Young Ninjas | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Young Ninjas | 33c | 296$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Hashiras | 41c | 277.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…e71ebacked Young Ninjas | 24c | 259.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Young Ninjas | 59c | 237.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Hashiras | 45c | 205$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Young Ninjas | 56c | 203.95$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Hashiras | 59c | 186.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…b9bfbacked Hashiras | 78c | 179.49$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed Young Ninjas | 52c | 176.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed Young Ninjas | 68c | 173$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hashiras | 55c | 170.29$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Young Ninjas | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Hashiras | 38c | 131.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…692dbacked Young Ninjas | 46c | 127.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Hashiras | 32c | 121$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Young Ninjas | 22c | 120.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Young Ninjas | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Hashiras | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Young Ninjas | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Young Ninjas | 48c | 85.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Hashiras | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Young Ninjas | 22c | 75.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hashiras | 40c | 71.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Young Ninjas | 37c | 64.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Hashiras | 57c | 63.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…6c8bbacked Young Ninjas | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Young Ninjas | 51c | 54.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Young Ninjas | 54c | 50.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Hashiras | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Hashiras | 45c | 49.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Young Ninjas | 49c | 48.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Hashiras | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Hashiras | 63c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a471backed Young Ninjas | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Young Ninjas | 42c | 36.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Hashiras | 32c | 34.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Young Ninjas | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…6b69backed Young Ninjas | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 68.4%65 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Young Ninjas | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Young Ninjas | 62c | 25.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Hashiras | 50c | 21.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Young Ninjas | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Young Ninjas | 56c | 19.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 WinnerHashiras won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 WinnerHashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.