La Liga · resolved market
FC Andorra vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca3e5d391a362d4c4dac73e10c74816fe39fe50c91eaac6560d20f1f6376ee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 24c | 1,003$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 41c | 705.8$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.42 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 504.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Under | 62c | 392.71$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 197.57$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 185.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 77c | 159.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 147.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Over | 70c | 84.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 76c | 80.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 76c | 80.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 76c | 80.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 76c | 80.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 76c | 80.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 76c | 80.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 77c | 79.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 38c | 79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Over | 38c | 45.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 64c | 32.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Under | 63c | 28.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 77cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 77c | 22.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 63c | 18.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Andorra vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Andorra vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Andorra vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Andorra vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.